[Ultimate Jinchuriki]

The first theory.....HJiraiya will live, and then go back to Konoha to train Naruto in learning the BAd Kyuubi's power....

Second Thery....Jiraiya dies.... the story passes to the Itachi vs Sasuke arc, and its revealed Madara's true identity.....

Third theory.... Jiraiya beats Pein,. but he escapes with Konan.... now in the Madara arc Naruto recieves the scroll and fail to get Sasuke back.....

Fourth Theory...Jiraiya cant kill Pein, as well as Pein cant kill Jiraiya, he the gives the order to the scroll frog to return to him....

Fith and las Theory..... Jiraiya dies, the scroll frog reaches naruto in time and tells him about Ero-sennin's death....he gets so angry that he goes after pPein,. but before he opens the frog scroll and discover the truth about its origin, later Pein decides to go after Naruto himself...